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RBI’s interest rate hike: what it means for inflation?

ZT WEB DESK

New Delhi, June 8: The six-member Monetary policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday raised the bank interest rates yet again by unanimously voting  to increase the policy rate by 50 bps, Governor Shaktikanta Das announced. Mr Das said the upside risk to retail inflation persists, fuelled by the recent spike in tomato and crude oil prices.

Increase in repo rate
The Monetary Policy Committee of the RBI increased the policy repo rate by 50 basis points to 4.90 per cent with immediate effect. “The MPC also decided to remain focused on withdrawal of accommodation to ensure that inflation remains within the target going forward, while supporting growth,” said the monetary policy statement.
Inflation likely to remain a worry
RBI revised the inflation projection for the current fiscal to 6.7 per cent from 5.7 per cent, with Q1 at 7.5 per cent; Q2 at 7.4 per cent; Q3 at 6.2 per cent and Q4 at 5.8 per cent. Das said that inflation is likely to remain above the upper tolerance level of 6 per cent in the first three quarters of this financial year. He added, “75 per cent of the increase in inflation projections can be attributed to the food group.”
GDP growth forecast for FY23 remains unchanged
RBI said that the GDP growth forecast for FY23 is seen at 7.2 per cent. GDP growth for Q1 is seen at 16.2 per cent, Q2 at 6.2 per cent; Q3 at 4.1 per cent and Q4 at 4.0 per cent.
Proposal to link credit cards to UPI
RBI proposed to link credit cards to the UPI platforms, and the implementation will start with Rupay Credit Cards. Das said that the move will provide additional convenience to users and enhance the scope of digital payments.

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