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India to be world’s most populated country in 2023: UN

News Agencies

India would be the world’s most populated country next year, surpassing China, a report by the United Nations said on Monday.

The UN report also said that the world’s population is projected to touch eight billion by mid-November 2022. Pakistan, the UN projects, will be the fifth most populous country in 2022.

“India is projected to surpass China as the world’s most populous country during 2023,” said the World Population Prospects 2022 by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

In 2022, India’s population will only be slightly lower (at 1.412 billion) than China’s (1.426 billion), according to the report.

And in 2050, the country is projected to have a population of 1.668 billion – way ahead of China’s 1.317 billion.

The UN estimates exceed those presented in July 2020 by a technical group of population projections constituted by the National Commission on Population (NCP), an Indian government panel. That report showed that India’s population will stand at 1.37 billion in 2022 and 1.39 billion in 2023, and that the country will have a population of 1.41 billion only by 2025.

The UN report did not mention the working-age population country-wise, but said the proportion of the working-age group will continue to increase for some time in central and southern Asia as well as in northern Africa and Western Asia. In these regions, the working-age population will start declining only by 2045.

The global population is growing at its slowest rate since 1950, having fallen under one per cent in 2020, it said.

The world’s two most populous regions in 2022 were Eastern and Southeastern Asia, with 2.3 billion people, representing 29 per cent of the global population; and Central and Southern Asia, with 2.1 billion, representing 26 per cent of the total world population.

China and India accounted for the largest populations in these regions, with more than 1.4 billion each in 2022.

More than half of the projected increase in global population up to 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries: the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania.

The report estimated that 10 countries experienced a net outflow of more than 1 million migrants between 2010 and 2021.

In many of these countries, these outflows were due to temporary labour movements. For instance, Pakistan witnessed net outflow of -16.5 million during 2010-2021; India (-3.5 million); Bangladesh (-2.9 million); Nepal (-1.6 million); and Sri Lanka (-1 million).

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