How much will it snow this weekend? Detailed ZT Outlook is here

20 October 2021

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Srinagar, Oct 20: A mix of heavy rainfall and snowfall is likely across J&K on coming Friday, Saturday and Sunday, according to Ziraat Times Weather Outlook.

Multiple weather data studied by Ziraat Times indicates that a strong moisture-bearing cloud system is likely to enter J&K on Friday afternoon, and will continue until late Sunday.

Will this spell be like November snow spells of 2019 and 2020?

All data studied by Ziraat Times suggests that this spell is NOT LIKELY to result in heavy snowfall as witnessed in November months of 2019 and 2020. The detailed outlook for this spell is given below:

Friday – 22nd October: Rain and Snowfall is likely to begin in parts of North Kashmir Friday afternoon. While Rafiabad, some Baramulla plains and Kupwara plains are likely to receive rains, Gurez, Razdan Pass, Sadhna Pass, Upper Lolab valley, Upper Bandipora and Upper Ganderbal belt, Sonamarg, Zojila Pass and surrounding areas are likely to receive moderate snowfall.

Saturday – 23rd October: Moderate snowfall will occur across Pirpanjal mountain range, including Gulmarg, Yusmarg, Sonamarg, Tosa Maidan, Peer ki Gali areas. Moderate snowfall is also likely in Outer Himalaya areas like upper Pahalgam, Gund Valley, Upper Tral, Margan Top and surrounding areas, Sinthan Top and surrounding areas, Kargil-Zanaskar and upper Chenab and Pirpanjal basin areas, including Wadwan, Kishtwar and Bhaderwah areas. Saturday will witness moderate to heavy rains in Jammu plains. Kashmir valley plains, including Srinagar are likely to receive moderate to heavy rainfall.

Sunday – 24th October: Light to Moderate snowfall will continue in all mountains and rainfall and light snowfall is also possible in few Karewa and plain areas of Kashmir valley.

How much snowfall to expect?

Analysis of multiple data related to the extent of cloud cover, density, wind speed, humidity and temperature indicates as below:

The Southern parts of Kashmir valley in Anantnag, Kulgam and Shopian districts, from Verinag, Pahalgam, Kulgam, Damhal Hanjipora, Kapran, Shopian, Pir ki Gali, Bafliaz areas would receive snowfall between 1 inch to one feet.
North Kashmir areas of Baramulla, Rafiabad, Sopore, Bandipora, Lolab Valley, Razdan Pass, Gurez, Kupwara, Sadhna Passare likely to receive 3 inches to 1.5 feet of snowfall.
Central Kashmir valley plains, including Srinagar city, Zabarwan range, Dara-Harwan, Dachigam Park and Mahadev mountain areas are likely to receive moderate to heavy rainfall and some light snowfall. Upper Dachigam and Mahadev peak areas would receive 6 inches to one feet of snow.
Pirpanjal mountain range and karewa areas in Budgam, Pulwama, Baramulla districts along the range from Yusmarg, Gulmarg and Kandi Baramulla would receive between 2 inches and 1.5 feet of snowfall.
Upper Bhaderwah, Upper Kishtwar, Upper Doda, Sinthan Top, Margan Top and Wadwan valley would receive snowfall between 6 inches to one feet.
Banihal, upper parts of Ramban, upper Rajouri and Poonch would receive between 6 inches to one feet of snow.

Note: Ziraat Times issues weather forecast/advisories in the interest of farmers and general public based on the analysis of multiple weather data, including dynamic and ultraviolet satellite imagery, cloud movement models, supercomputer-generated direction and wind speeds associated with the westerly jet, temperature variations within Jammu & Kashmir, sub-regions and neighbouring regions, past weather data and patterns. While maximum care is taken in generating this information, and most times our forecasts are accurate; due to the rapidly-changing nature of winds, humidity and local cloud formation, at times, the forecast might not go as anticipated. We advise discretion in using this information.